tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4142988674703954802.post3928458746717622078..comments2024-03-11T04:54:26.827-07:00Comments on THE HOCKEY SCHTICK: New paper finds another mechanism by which the Sun controls climateUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4142988674703954802.post-80611060490977939522013-07-11T08:49:50.439-07:002013-07-11T08:49:50.439-07:00They may well have it backwards. All my model requ...They may well have it backwards. All my model requires is a more negative AO when the sun is less active and a more positive AO when the sun is more active.<br /><br />I haven't studied how that affects the Aleutian Low as a specific feature of the general circulation.<br /><br />Stephen WildeAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4142988674703954802.post-84588632939393875582013-07-11T06:11:45.470-07:002013-07-11T06:11:45.470-07:00Thanks Tallbloke,
I'm a one-man operation wit...Thanks Tallbloke,<br /><br />I'm a one-man operation with a real job on the side so often comments have to wait.. ;)MShttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06714540297202434542noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4142988674703954802.post-45858650601312047222013-07-11T03:30:35.527-07:002013-07-11T03:30:35.527-07:00Did my comment go missing?Did my comment go missing?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4142988674703954802.post-20929609082131782102013-07-11T03:28:29.798-07:002013-07-11T03:28:29.798-07:00Hi Michael. Calibration has to be considered too. ...Hi Michael. Calibration has to be considered too. My simple SSN integration with AMO and SOI plus a CO2 factor (Which bears a strong similarity to the NCDC adjustments regime) ;-) replicates HADsst3 well too.<br />http://tallbloke.files.wordpress.com/2012/10/sst-model1.png<br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4142988674703954802.post-82113786763224198242013-07-10T12:46:25.988-07:002013-07-10T12:46:25.988-07:00High solar activity would be associated with a str...High solar activity would be associated with a stronger aleutian low not a weaker Aleutian Low. <br /><br />IT HAS BEEN SHOWN THAT WEAKER SOLAR ACTIVITY RESULTS IN A<br /> -AO (ARCTIC OSCILLATION0 WHICH IS A MORE MERIDIONAL ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION. THIS TYPE OF CIRCULATION WOULD FEATURE A WAEAK ALEUTIAN LOW, NOT A STRONG ALEUTIAN LOW WHICH WOULD BE INDICATIVE OF A ZONAL ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG OR ACTIVR SOLAR CONDITIONS.<br /><br />They have it backwards.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4142988674703954802.post-64629574157175259692013-07-09T13:23:40.970-07:002013-07-09T13:23:40.970-07:00Thanks Stephen, looking forward to seeing your sit...Thanks Stephen, looking forward to seeing your site.MShttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06714540297202434542noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4142988674703954802.post-14869708332404546352013-07-09T12:59:47.384-07:002013-07-09T12:59:47.384-07:00Hi MS.
The correlation you noted back in 2010 ser...Hi MS.<br /><br />The correlation you noted back in 2010 serves to illustrate my point very well.<br /><br />The combination of top down solar and lagging bottom up oceanic forcing is enough to explain all observations without CO2.<br /><br />I first advanced that proposition here:<br /><br />http://climaterealists.com/index.php?id=1302<br /><br />in May 2008 and suggested that:<br /><br />"Before it is safe to attribute a global warming or a global cooling effect to any other factor (CO2 in particular) it is necessary to disentangle the simultaneous overlapping positive and negative effects of solar variation, PDO/ENSO and the other oceanic cycles. Sometimes they work in unison, sometimes they work against each other and until a formula has been developed to work in a majority of situations all our guesses about climate change must come to nought.<br /><br /> So, to be able to monitor and predict changes in global temperature we need more than information about the past, current and expected future level of solar activity.<br /><br /> We also need to identify all the separate oceanic cycles around the globe and ascertain both the current state of their respective warming or cooling modes and, moreover, the intensity of each, both at the time of measurement and in the future.<br /><br />Once we have a suitable formula I believe that changes in global temperature will no longer be a confusing phenomenon and we will be able to apportion the proper weight to other influencing factors such as the greenhouse effect of CO2."<br /><br />Since then I have extended my model to a complete chain of cause and effect.<br /><br />Will have my own site up shortly designed to refine and assess the performance of my model in the light of on going climate events.<br /><br />Stephen WildeAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4142988674703954802.post-7200916948952483952013-07-09T12:35:48.516-07:002013-07-09T12:35:48.516-07:00Your model is more sophisticated than mine, but us...Your model is more sophisticated than mine, but using only AMO+PDO+sunspot integral is remarkable...<br /><br />http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2010/01/climate-modeling-ocean-oscillations.htmlMShttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06714540297202434542noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4142988674703954802.post-59116268179897630992013-07-09T10:16:32.119-07:002013-07-09T10:16:32.119-07:00Obviously the Aleutian Low responds along with all...Obviously the Aleutian Low responds along with all the other air circulation features to the effect of changes in the mix of wavelengths and particles from the sun on the gradient of tropopause height between equator and poles.<br /><br />More support fro my New Climate Model.<br /><br />Stephen WildeAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com