tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4142988674703954802.post2803673206005766655..comments2024-03-11T04:54:26.827-07:00Comments on THE HOCKEY SCHTICK: New paper finds significant decreasing trend of Australian tropical cyclonesUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4142988674703954802.post-30600631098138118272014-04-11T12:19:18.499-07:002014-04-11T12:19:18.499-07:00The science actually predicted that global warming...The science actually predicted that global warming would make Australian tropical cyclones less common.<br /><br />5.9.1 Tropical cyclones<br />Similar to studies for other basins, Australian region studies indicate a likely increase in the proportion of the tropical cyclones in the more intense categories, but a possible decrease in the total number of cyclones.<br /><br />...<br /><br />Since that time there has been a growing number of studies using results from medium and high resolution global climate models. The results from these studies indicate a consistent signal of fewer tropical cyclones globally in a warmer climate (Knutson et al 2006)<br /><br />http://climatechangeinaustralia.gov.au/documents/resources/TR_Web_Ch5iv.pdfFreewheelinFrankhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02747785651547255621noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4142988674703954802.post-81187305343963905462014-04-10T14:07:10.066-07:002014-04-10T14:07:10.066-07:00David Appell: TIKE, like ACE, both show a decline ...David Appell: TIKE, like ACE, both show a decline since the mid 1990s.<br /><br />If anything, TIKE shows a STEEPER decline than ACE.Les Johnsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07079072001325437515noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4142988674703954802.post-56774786071377725882014-04-09T06:48:00.505-07:002014-04-09T06:48:00.505-07:00http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v505/n7485/fu...http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v505/n7485/full/nature12882.html<br /><br />GeoffAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4142988674703954802.post-29179637217714056172014-04-08T13:21:11.425-07:002014-04-08T13:21:11.425-07:00ACE is not a very good metric of hurricane activit...ACE is not a very good metric of hurricane activity, since it does not consider storm size.<br /><br />A better metric is TIKE:<br />http://davidappell.blogspot.com/2013/05/a-new-hurricane-metric.htmlDavid Appellhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03318269033139447591noreply@blogger.com