tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4142988674703954802.post7529936364805996549..comments2024-03-11T04:54:26.827-07:00Comments on THE HOCKEY SCHTICK: New paper finds another potential solar amplification mechanismUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4142988674703954802.post-89604839600394742252014-08-02T06:47:47.153-07:002014-08-02T06:47:47.153-07:00Perhaps you should submit a comment on the paper t...Perhaps you should submit a comment on the paper to the journal or write to the authors. I'm sure they would be happy to discuss. <br /><br />BTW if you would like to write up your solar/climate model for a lay audience, I'd be happy to make a guest post. MShttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06714540297202434542noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4142988674703954802.post-69495167529855102872014-08-02T02:21:44.902-07:002014-08-02T02:21:44.902-07:00Interesting but seems like a major effort to repro...Interesting but seems like a major effort to reproduce since it seems to rely on several other papers and does adequately describe the method used.<br /><br />It would be more impressive if they were not distorting and inverting the data with a crappy filter before doing the analysis.<br /><br />It seems odd that people that seem comfortable attacking some fairly complicated maths are not capable of finding decent filter and are , apparently, unaware of distortions caused by running averages. <br /><br />They repeatedly say they are "averaging" the data which is inaccurate since an average results in less data points. It is clear from the graphs that they are averaging the data. <br /><br />It is known that the noise level is highest at solar minima and it has been suggested by Ray Tomes that the data should be square rooted before analysis, without giving a justification ( econometrics mentality ). <br /><br />Taking the square root of SSN does give a more even noise level (high freq variability). This may have more to do with nature of observations where detectability is determined by the angular resolution of the observing optics. <br /><br />This translates to smallest _linear_ dimension of sunspot features on the photosphere, which is probably not a function of the underlying physical process, more properly related to the area. <br /><br />This will lead to a larger errors when studying smaller features at solar minima.<br /><br />fig B2 in the paper shows it is picking stronger 'irregularity' at cycles with low solar minima. <br /><br />It remains to be seen whether findings with arbitrarily selected parameters are not simply detecting the anomalous distortions produced by the running mean filter. <br /><br />If they repeat the exercise with proper filtering and get similar results it may be worth a closer look. <br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /><br />Greg Goodmanhttp://climategrog.wordpress.com/2013/05/19/triple-running-mean-filters/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4142988674703954802.post-42897556569951273052014-08-01T02:37:13.241-07:002014-08-01T02:37:13.241-07:00I would advise to contact Piers Corbyn who predict...I would advise to contact Piers Corbyn who predicts weather forecasts using solar activity, which the MET Office doesn't understand.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4142988674703954802.post-23665653651059430812014-08-01T00:33:19.838-07:002014-08-01T00:33:19.838-07:00"the strength of quasi-biennial oscillations,..."the strength of quasi-biennial oscillations, which "dominates variability of the lower stratosphere" and which may in turn control the jet stream and winter polar vortex that led to this winter's record US cold temperatures. "<br /><br />Closer and closer to my New Climate Model:<br /><br />http://www.newclimatemodel.com/new-climate-model/<br /><br />and it all went into reverse around 2000.<br /><br />What they need to realise though is that high solar activity reduces ozone in the stratosphere especially towards the poles and low solar activity does the opposite.<br /><br />That is the reverse of standard climatology and additionally explains the late 20th century fall in stratospheric ozone without involving CFCs<br /><br /><br />Stephen Wildenoreply@blogger.com