Thursday, September 20, 2012

Paging PBS: New paper finds over 4°C urban heat island effect

A paper published in Theoretical and Applied Climatology finds that between 1965 - 2006, urban regions in the Anatolian Peninsula, Turkey experienced a strong urban heat island effect of over 4°C, while surrounding rural areas showed no statistically significant warming at all.


From the latest NIPPC Report:

Urban heat islands of the Anatolian Peninsula

Reference:   Ozdemir, H., Unal, A., Kindap, T., Turuncoglu, U.U., Durmusoglu, Z.O., Khan, M., Tayanc, M. and Karaca, M. 2012. Quantification of the urban heat island under a changing climate over the Anatolian Peninsula. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 108: 31-38.

The Anatolian Peninsula comprises the Asian part of Turkey, lying in the Eastern Mediterranean at the confluence of Europe, Asia and Africa, the urban population of which grew from about 25% of its total in 1945 to approximately 45% in 1980 and then, more rapidly, to close to 80% in 2007.

Focusing on cities having over half a million inhabitants representative of urban conditions and much smaller towns representative of rural conditions - all of which also possessed continuous high-quality temperature data from 1965 to 2006 - Ozdemir et al. (2012) studied the four-decade trends in daily minimum air temperature at each location.

In discussing their findings, the eight researchers report that "statistical analysis of daily minimum temperatures for the period between 1965 and 2006 suggest that there is no statistically significant increase in rural areas." However, they say that all of the urban sites, as well as the differences between urban and rural pairs, show significant increases in temperature, indicative of a strong urban heat island (UHI) effect over the region. In fact, as they describe it, the average "urban station is over 4°C warmer than rural."

Whereas it is claimed by many climate alarmists that adequate adjustments are made for urban heat island effects when compiling data from all around the world to deduce a global mean near-surface air temperature representative of non-urban conditions, questions remain as to what extent the world's many urban sites have had their warming reduced to zero over various time intervals (especially more recent ones), as would appear to be needed on the Anatolian Peninsula. If this has not been done there, as well as at other locations where it may have been warranted, it could well be that historical greenhouse gas-induced global warming has not been nearly as large as it has been portrayed to be.


  1. Hello,

    I have started a subforum for the purpose of collecting your postings here.

    I post just the headline,the date and the link back to here for each Headline entry you have made.

    Here is the link to the subforum for your examination.

    The purpose is to increase visibility to your entries and drive more traffic here as well.

    The public needs to see the reports you post to show that the science is NOT settled and that there are many science reports that show climate changes are strongly driven by "natural" forces and that CO2 has little or nothing to do with it.

    1. That's great & thanks much for your support!

  2. Steve Mosher says UHI isn't an issue. He says BEST and GISS are good as gold :)