Monday, July 15, 2013

New paper finds 3 more non-hockey-sticks in Quebec, Canada

A paper published today in Quaternary Science Reviews reconstructs temperatures over the past 1000 years from three locations in Quebec, Canada, and finds 3 non-hockey-sticks with warmer reconstructed temperatures during multiple periods than at the end of the record in the year 2000.
First three graphs at left side show temperature reconstructions over the past 1000 years. All three reconstructions show temperatures higher than the present [year 2000] have occurred during the past millennium 
Prior posts on non-hockey-sticks

Climatic change causes abrupt changes in forest composition, inferred from a high-resolution pollen record, southwestern Quebec, Canada

  • Laboratory for Paleoclimatology and Climatology, Department of Geography, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON K1N 6N5, Canada


Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age impacted vegetation of southwest Quebec.
Transition into the Little Ice Age was abrupt within a couple of decades.
High-resolution pollen data record multi-decadal to century climate changes.


A pollen profile from a lake with varved sediments sampled at continuous 10-year intervals and spanning the past 1000 years was analyzed to understand the effects of climate change and anthropogenic activity on forests in southwestern Quebec. Pollen assemblages were dominated by arboreal taxa, primarily Pinus,TsugaBetula and Fagus. Between 990 and 1560 AD, pollen accumulation rates and percentages of hardwoods (BetulaFagusAcerUlmusTilia) and Tsuga were relatively high. At 1560 AD, PARs of many hardwood taxa (FagusAcerBetulaFraxinusUlmus) and Tsuga abruptly decreased, some remaining low for the remainder of the record (TsugaFagusAcer), but others increasing after 50 years (BetulaFraxinus). An increase in non-arboreal pollen between 1810 and 2010 AD was caused by European settlement of the area. The transition in the pollen assemblages beginning at 1560 AD and a climate reconstruction based on these data shows an abrupt climate cooling had a significant impact on the pollen accumulation rates of the region within a couple of decades. A synthesis of this record with other high-resolution and well-dated pollen data from the conifer-hardwood forest of eastern North America shows consistent results across the whole area, indicating that very-high resolution pollen data can provide insight into multi-decadal climate variability and its impact on forest vegetation.

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