Tuesday, April 26, 2011

New paper shows how natural ocean oscillations control climate

According to climate scientist Dr. Roger Pielke Sr., "A very important new paper has been accepted for publication in Climate Dynamics," titled Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation And Northern Hemisphere’s Climate Variability. The paper shows how the climate of the Northern Hemisphere can be explained by a combination of the natural ocean cycles called the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), without incorporating greenhouse gases. The graph below, from a poster associated with the paper, shows how the Northern Hemisphere (NH) surface temperature "can be nearly perfectly represented as a weighted sum of the AMO and PDO" natural ocean oscillations. IPCC models do not incorporate ocean oscillations and are purposely programmed to instead attempt to "prove" CO2 controls climate rather than natural factors such as ocean oscillations and solar variability.
NHT (blue line) is Northern Hemisphere Temperature and tracks "nearly perfectly" a weighted sum of the AMO and PDO ocean oscillations (red dashed line)
Poster associated with the paper, click for pdf file
Related: more on the natural ~ 60 year climate cycle
A very simple climate model in the post: Climate Modeling: Ocean Oscillations + Solar Activity R²=.96 also tracks global temperature nearly perfectly


  1. When the earth cools over the next 30 years and the great scam is fully exposed will the politicians who were conned apologise for wasting our billions? Will the corrupt or misguided scientists be charged with fraud? Will we learn to be sceptical? We really should learn a great deal from this nightmare but I doubt it. Man does not learn from history and that is a fact.

  2. Men and women of true character can and do learn from history, but those who depend upon unquestioned dogma to make their judgments do not. The bottom line for science is, scientists MUST learn from this worldwide fiasco -- that there IS NO greenhouse effect as proclaimed by the "consensus" (and as demonstrated, quite easily on my blog, to be incompetent), and that radiative transfer theory, on which that incompetent hypothesis rests, has been fundamentally corrupted to produce scientific garbage, which has taken in climate scientists and, apparently, even most physicists.