Key Points
- A strong positive linear trend in exists in world ocean heat content since 1955
- One third of the observed warming occurs in the 700-2000 m layer of the ocean
- The warming can only be explained by the increase in atmospheric GHGs
National Oceanographic Data Center, NOAA, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA
UCAR Project Scientist, National Oceanographic Data Center, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA
National Oceanographic Data Center, NOAA, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA
National Oceanographic Data Center, NOAA, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA
National Oceanographic Data Center, NOAA, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA
National Oceanographic Data Center, NOAA, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA
National Oceanographic Data Center, NOAA, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA
National Oceanographic Data Center, NOAA, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA
National Oceanographic Data Center, NOAA, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA
National Oceanographic Data Center, NOAA, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA
National Oceanographic Data Center, NOAA, Silver Spring, Maryland, USA
We provide updated estimates of the change of ocean heat content and the thermosteric component of sea level change of the 0–700 and 0–2000 m layers of the World Ocean for 1955–2010. Our estimates are based on historical data not previously available, additional modern data, and bathythermograph data corrected for instrumental biases. We have also used Argo data corrected by the Argo DAC if available and used uncorrected Argo data if no corrections were available at the time we downloaded the Argo data. The heat content of the World Ocean for the 0–2000 m layer increased by 24.0 ± 1.9 × 1022 J (±2S.E.) corresponding to a rate of 0.39 W m−2 (per unit area of the World Ocean) and a volume mean warming of 0.09°C. This warming corresponds to a rate of 0.27 W m−2 per unit area of earth's surface. The heat content of the World Ocean for the 0–700 m layer increased by 16.7 ± 1.6 × 1022 J corresponding to a rate of 0.27 W m−2 (per unit area of the World Ocean) and a volume mean warming of 0.18°C. The World Ocean accounts for approximately 93% of the warming of the earth system that has occurred since 1955. The 700–2000 m ocean layer accounted for approximately one-third of the warming of the 0–2000 m layer of the World Ocean. The thermosteric component of sea level trend was 0.54 ± .05 mm yr−1 for the 0–2000 m layer and 0.41 ± .04 mm yr−1 for the 0–700 m layer of the World Ocean for 1955–2010.

This is an example of a new fallacy, available only through advanced statistics, that of false precision. 55 years ago, were people measuring global ocean temperature to an accuracy of greater than 0.01 degrees Centigrade?
ReplyDeleteNo, they were not. They were +/- 2 I suspect, if they were lucky. And even then, only in a small geographical sample, not the whole oceans of the world, or the deep either, where Trenbeth likes to pack his "Heat".
All these stats are hokus, pokus, bogus. The precision fallacy disavowes the warmistas claim.
Not even getting into the discussion about the nature of ocean temperature measurements 30-50 years ago, a question regarding the third point (The warming can only be explained by the increase in atmospheric GHGs):
ReplyDeleteHow can they be so certain about this? Isn't it possible that a slight reduction in cloud cover allowed more solar radation to the sea surface?
Just wondering . . .
They can't be certain about this. Just another example of genuflecting to the CAGW gods.
DeleteIsn't it possible that a slight reduction in cloud cover allowed more solar radation to the sea surface?
Absolutely
"the IPCC claims the increase in CO2 from 1955-2010 'should' have warmed the oceans by 1.12 Watts per square meter"
ReplyDeleteWhere?
The embarrassing "IPCC formula" for radiative forcing is hidden in the footnotes of AR4
ReplyDeleteCO2 forcing = 5.35*ln[ending CO2 level/beginning CO2 level]
I simply plugged in the CO2 levels in ppm for 1955 and 2010 to calculate the forcing claimed by the IPCC
Which is a totally different matter.
DeleteNo, it's not
DeleteForcing is about radiative imbalance at top of atmosphere. Ocean energy accumulation is about imbalance at sea surface. Totally different things.
DeleteEven if one uses the IPCC formulas for conversion from TOA forcing to surface temperature change, the alleged effect of CO2 from 1955-2010 would be about 0.9C at the surface.
DeleteThe oceans have warmed 0.09C, one order of magnitude less.
and sea surface and oceans are totally different things.
DeleteNo, they are of course, intimately related, and there has been trivial warming of both, neither due to GHGs.
DeleteKey Points
ReplyDeleteA strong positive linear trend in exists in world ocean heat contentsince 1955
One third of the observed warming occurs in the 700-2000 m layer of the ocean
The warming can only be explained by the increase in atmospheric GHGs
Authors:
Sydney Levitus
John I. Antonov
Tim P. Boyer
Olga K. Baranova
Hernan Eduardo Garcia
Ricardo Alejandro Locarnini
Alexey V. Mishonov
James Reagan
Dan Seidov
Evgeney S. Yarosh
Melissa Marie Zweng
We provide updated estimates of the change of heat content and the thermosteric component of sea level change of the 0-700 and 0-2000 m layers of the world ocean for 1955-2010. Our estimates are based on historical data not previously available, additional modern data, correcting for instrumental biases of bathythermograph data, and correcting or excluding some Argo float data. The heat content of the world ocean for the 0-2000 m layer increased by 24.0x1022 J corresponding to a rate of 0.39 Wm-2 (per unit area of the world ocean) and a volume mean warming of 0.09ºC. This warming rate corresponds to a rate of 0.27 Wm-2 per unit area of earth's surface. The heat content of the world ocean for the 0-700 m layer increased by 16.7x1022 J corresponding to a rate of 0.27 Wm-2 (per unit area of the world ocean) and a volume mean warming of 0.18ºC. The world ocean accounts for approximately 90% of the warming of the earth system that has occurred since 1955. The thermosteric component of sea level trend is 0.54 mm yr-1 for the 0-2000 m layer and 0.41 mm yr-1 for the 0-700 m layer of the world ocean for 1955-2010.
See: http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/pip/2012GL051106.shtml
This took 3 mins with google to locate.. Clearly states GHG's are to blame.. You can't have your cake and eat it too..
"This took 3 mins with google to locate.. Clearly states GHG's are to blame.. You can't have your cake and eat it too.."
DeleteIf you had taken 3 seconds to look at the post you would have found this same abstract is in fact the subject of the post. It does, incorrectly, state GHGs are to blame for less than one-tenth of 1 degree warming over past 55 years. GHGs cannot warm the oceans for the reasons linked to above.
Alarmists want to have their cake & eat it too by claiming there is no other explanation besides GHGs despite multiple similar warming periods in the past with stable GHGs, ocean oscillations, solar grand maximum at the end of the 20th century, solar amplification via ozone & possibly cosmic rays, changes in cloud cover, etc. etc.
A lot has been said about the melting of the ice caps in the Antartica and how it is going to impact the sea level. But these statistic tells us there is nothing to worry about the rise in sea level. Any opinion?
ReplyDeleteThere is no need to worry about sea level. Sea levels have been rising for the past 20,000 years since the peak of the last ice age. The rate of sea level rise was much faster up until 8000 years ago and has continued to decelerate, inlcuding over the 20th century [Holgate 2007].
DeleteRelated to this post & my comments above:
ReplyDeletehttp://pielkeclimatesci.wordpress.com/2012/05/28/an-interesting-admission-and-an-error-by-gavin-schmidt/
http://pielkeclimatesci.wordpress.com/2012/05/29/grappling-with-reality-a-comment-on-the-skeptical-science-post-by-dana1981-modeled-and-observed-ocean-heat-content-is-there-a-discrepancy/
ReplyDeletehttp://translate.google.com/translate?sl=auto&tl=en&u=http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheClimateScamSE/~3/mFFQZYbcuo0/
ReplyDelete