Friday, March 11, 2011

New material posted on the NIPCC website

Eurasian Arctic Temperatures of the Past 115 Years (8 Mar 2011)

A portion of the earth that is supposed to (1) be the first place on the planet to exhibit anthropogenic-induced global warming, and to (2) exhibit that warming most strongly, shows no net warming whatsoever over the last eight decades of the 20th century. ... Read More

Earth’s Thermal Sensitivity to a Doubling of Atmospheric CO2 (8 Mar 2011)

Lindzen and Choi report that all eleven models employed by the IPCC “agree as to positive feedback,” but they find that they all disagree - and disagree “very sharply” - with the real-world observations that they (Lindzen and Choi) utilized, which imply that negative feedback actually prevails. And the presence of that negative feedback reduces the CO2-induced propensity for warming to the extent that their analysis of the real-world observational data only yields a mean SST increase “of ~0.5°C for a doubling of CO2" ... Read More

The Resiliency of a Tropical Eastern-Pacific Coral Reef (8 Mar 2011)

Despite recurrent natural disturbances, “live coral cover in 2004 was as high as that existing before 1982 at La Azufrada” ... Read More

Global Warming and Wildfires (8 Mar 2011)

In spite of evidence from prior centuries that global warming may indeed have had a tendency to promote wildfires on a global basis (since global cooling had a tendency to reduce them), technological developments during the industrial age appear to have overpowered this natural tendency to the point that man has become a dominant factor for good in actually leading to a decrease in global wildfires over the past century and a half ... Read More

Surviving the Unprecedented Climate Change of the IPCC (8 Mar 2011)

Norwegian, Swedish and UK researchers urge “some caution in assuming broad-scale extinctions of species will occur due solely to climate changes of the magnitude and rate predicted for the next century,” while noting that “the fossil record indicates remarkable biotic resilience to wide amplitude fluctuations in climate” ... Read More

The Relative Merit of Multiple Climate Models (8 Mar 2011)

Not even a model’s close replication of past reality insures that its projections of future reality will prove equally accurate ... Read More

The Case Against Climate Envelope Models of Species Range Shifts (8 Mar 2011)

What three researchers learned from some Canadian conifers ... Read More

Tropospheric Humidity and CO2-Induced Global Warming (9 Mar 2011)

“Negative trends in q as found in the NCEP data would imply that long-term water vapor feedback is negative - that it would reduce rather than amplify the response of the climate system to external forcing such as that from increasing atmospheric CO2" ... Read More

Warming-Induced Vegetative Change in the Swedish Scandes (9 Mar 2011)

“Continued modest warming over the present century will likely be beneficial to alpine biodiversity, geological stability, resilience, sustainable reindeer husbandry and aesthetic landscape qualities,” which outlook is a far, far cry from the “pushed off the planet” scenario supported by the IPCC and derived from highly-discredited climate envelope models of plant redistributions in response to the future climate changes ... Read More

Global Warming and Malaria: Does the Former Promote the Latter? (9 Mar 2011)

“Future changes in climate may alter the prevalence and incidence of the disease, but obsessive emphasis on ‘global warming’ as a dominant parameter is indefensible” ... Read More

The Late-1980 Extratropical Warming of the Northern Hemisphere (9 Mar 2011)

Is it well described by climate models? ... and was it anthropogenic induced? ... Read More

The Top-of-the-Atmosphere Radiation Budget: Model Simulations vs. Direct Measurements over the Tropics (9 Mar 2011)

“None of the models simulates the overall ‘net radiative heating’ signature of the earth’s radiative budget over the time period from 1985-2000". ... Read More

The Green(leaf)ing of the Earth Continues (9 Mar 2011)

Over the period of time when the earth experienced a warming that (1) occurred at a rate that the IPCC contends was unprecedented over the past millennium or two, and that (2) took the planet to a level of warmth that the IPCC also considers to have been unprecedented over the past millennium or two, the Leaf Area Index of the planet’s vegetation increased ... Read More


  1. You forgot to add this article, by Dr Van Andel, which was the basis of a presentation to KNMI in early Feb 2011 see here
    Not only does this say that all the models are wrong eg "There is a large discrepancy between the observed upper tropospheric temperatures [negative trend]and the temperatures expected by climate models that start from the greenhouse warming hypothesis [positive trend]." but gives an explanation for actual measured data.

  2. I already have 4 posts on Dr. van Andel: