Tuesday, September 17, 2013

AGW is a theory full of holes and laden with faults, a big con-job – and a costly one at that

What Global Warming?

By Bill Muehlenberg, 9/17/13

Real science is always provisional, open to correction, and tentative in its conclusions. Scientism on the other hand is an ideological stone – unmovable and inflexible. Thus real scientists will be open to evidence, while the true believers will allow ideology to trump the facts.

We certainly see this played out in the global warming hype. For many this has simply become an article of faith. One must subscribe to anthropogenic global warming, or be hounded out of the public arena as a heretic and renegade. And this despite the fact that thousands of scientists don’t buy the AGW hype.

But you know things are really beginning to unravel when the big cheese groups pushing all this finally start admitting that they may have gotten things wrong. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change is now finally admitting that their computer projections may have greatly overstated the case on global warming.

Indeed, the IPCC’s “latest assessment reportedly admits its computer drastically overestimated rising temperatures, and over the past 60 years the world has in fact been warming at half the rate claimed in the previous IPCC report in 2007. More importantly, according to reports in British and US media, the draft report appears to suggest global temperatures were less sensitive to rising levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide than was previously thought.”

As one news report states, “Professor Judith Curry, head of climate science at the Georgia Institute of Technology in Atlanta, told The Daily Mail the leaked summary showed ‘the science is clearly not settled, and is in a state of flux’. The Wall Street Journal said the updated report, due out on September 27, would show ‘the temperature rise we can expect as a result of manmade emissions of carbon dioxide is lower than the IPCC thought in 2007’.”

The truth is, far too many other more important features, such as solar activity, determine the earth’s fluctuating temperatures: “On August 7th, the Danish newspaper Jyllands-Posten quoted Irish solar expert Ian Elliott predicting that lower levels of sunspot activity over the next few years ‘indicates that we may be on the path to a new little ice age.

“‘If you think scientists just couldn’t get any more incompetent, then think again. [National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration] scientists even appear to believe that cold events are now signs of warming,’ Gosselin points out. ‘When one carefully reads the report, we find that the NOAA findings actually do confirm precisely what the skeptics have been claiming all along:

1. The Earth has stopped warming.

2. The climate models exaggerated future warming [caused by] CO2 climate sensitivity is much lower than we first thought.

‘That’s the real issue at hand,’ he added.”

Yet the panic merchants have made a killing in telling us we are all doomed. They have offered up one false prophecy after another, yet they still continue pimping their bogus alarmism. Consider Al Gore. He assured us in 2007 that by 2013 the North Pole would be “ice-free”.

Um, no Al, wrong again. Just the opposite seems to be occurring. As another report states, “However, instead of completely melting away, the polar icecap is now at its highest level for this time of year since 2006. Satellite photos of the Arctic taken by NASA in August 2012 and August 2013 show a 60 percent increase in the polar ice sheet, more than half the size of Europe, despite ‘realistic’ predictions by climate scientists six years ago that the North Pole would be completely melted by now.

“Instead of shrinking, the NASA photographs clearly show that the Arctic ice sheet is much larger than it was at the same time last year. The thick layer of summer ice, which currently stretches from Canada to Russia, is preventing ships from using the North-West Passage.”

These and other inconvenient truths do not deter the alarmists however. They have too much at stake to change their tune now and align themselves with the actual science. There is certainly too much money at stake. Al Gore might have to relinquish his mansions and all his polluting cars and jets.

As I say, this is a faith-based venture. It is like a religion, or more like a cult, where there must be complete conformity and agreement, or else. There can be no dissent and no disagreement. Everyone must hold to the party line or face the music.

Just as the Communists of old punished anyone who deviated from the official party line, so too today, as Norman Rogers explains: “Global warming is a scientific theory, but is mostly about faith. Faith plays a bigger role in science than we care to admit.

“Allegedly well-meaning intellectuals of the 1930s believed in and defended Stalin’s Russia in the face of massive and accessible evidence that ‘scientific’ communism had given birth to a terroristic, totalitarian state. Today’s believers in global warming, like the intellectuals in the 1930s, fiercely defend their wacky faith in the face of massive and contrary evidence. They are vested in a theory that is precious to them. Their scientific studies pick and choose from an evidence buffet.

“When an ideology is precious, the believers become aggressively hostile toward infidels. The global warmers do not have dungeons or Siberian labor camps, though one wonders how far they would go if they could. James Hansen, a scientist and the most famous global warming preacher after Al Gore, wants to put executives of fossil fuel companies in jail for ‘crimes against humanity.’

“Al Gore thinks that people who deny his faith are like people who think that the moon landing was staged in Hollywood. In other words, those who question the global warming faith are either criminals or crackpots. This is tolerance as practiced by those who have appointed themselves to save us from imaginary disaster.”

He continues, “The enemies of the global warming believers are dissenters, effectively infidels or pagans. Scientists who dissent are especially despised and persecuted because global warming is supposedly based on science and thus scientists who dissent are a special threat to the faith. To the believers, a scientist who dissents is like a bishop of the Catholic Church who becomes a Mormon.

“To see examples of the persecution of dissenting scientists is easy. It’s everywhere on the Internet. The websites DeSmogBlog, Climate Central, The Daily Climate, Real Climate, and Skeptical Science, to name a few examples, criticize scientists who don’t toe the ideological line. DeSmogBlog maintains a data base of people it doesn’t like, including scientists. The general theme of these websites is that the infidels are in the pay of oil companies or coal companies.

“This theory is repeated again and again, but in reality the oil and coal companies are far too timid to actively support global warming dissenters. The few examples of coal or oil companies actually giving money to dissenters or dissenting organizations are so minor that one suspects that the gift was an accident or bureaucratic snafu. The theory of a fossil fuel company conspiracy is untrue, but is constantly repeated because the believers are unable to think of any legitimate reason why anyone would dissent from what to them is revealed truth.”

So we have a real faith-based zealotry which cracks down on any doubters, any unbelievers. But persecuting dissenters will not change the real science. And as the evidence mounts that AGW is a theory full of holes and laden with faults, more and more people will see that this has just been another big con-job – and a costly one at that.


1 comment:

  1. http://forargyll.com/2013/09/andrew-argyle-ipcc-cools-on-global-warming/

    The IPCC Cools on Global Warming