New paper is a huge blow to CAGW: 'Missing heat' NOT found in the deep oceans

A paper published yesterday in Nature Climate Change finds the deep oceans [below 2000 meters] cooled from 2005-2013, debunking the convenient excuse that Trenberth's AGW 'missing heat' has been hiding in the deep oceans. According to the authors, this deep ocean cooling caused a global sea level decrease of -0.13 mm/yr from 2005-2013. 

As the paper notes, this is a reversal from the deep ocean warming from the 1990's to 2005, which led to a sea level rise of +0.11 mm/yr during that period, but has reversed since 2005 to deep ocean cooling and a negative contribution to sea levels. Thus, there is no evidence of the AGW "missing heat" hiding in the deep oceans as many warmists have claimed. 

Even though the heat content of the upper oceans has slightly warmed 0.09C over the past 55 years [Levitus et al 2012], this is also not nearly enough to explain the alleged AGW "missing heat." Therefore, the "missing heat" is missing from both the upper and lower oceans. 

Thirdly, since there has been no statistically-significant warming of the atmosphere [troposphere] over the past 18-26 years during the so-called "pause" or "hiatus", the AGW "missing heat" is missing from the atmosphere as well. 

There is one inescapable conclusion: The "missing heat" is nowhere to be found in Earth's atmosphere or oceans, and has escaped to space, or never existed in the first place [except in computer models]. Indeed, measurements of outgoing longwave radiation to space [infrared from greenhouse gases] have increased over the past 62 years, not decreased as predicted by models from the rise in greenhouse gases.

"It's a travesty!" 

Accompanying editorial in Nature Climate Change [excerpt]

Deep-ocean contribution to sea level and energy budget not detectable over the past decade

• W. Llovel,
• J. K. Willis,
• F. W. Landerer
• & I. Fukumori

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Nature Climate Change

 

(2014)

 

doi:10.1038/nclimate2387

Received

 

27 June 2014 

Accepted

 

26 August 2014 

Published online

 

05 October 2014

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Abstract

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As the dominant reservoir of heat uptake in the climate system, the world’s oceans provide a critical measure of global climate change. Here, we infer deep-ocean warming in the context of global sea-level rise and Earth’s energy budget between January 2005 and December 2013. Direct measurements of ocean warming above 2,000 m depth explain about 32% of the observed annual rate of global mean sea-level rise. Over the entire water column, independent estimates of ocean warming yield a contribution of 0.77 ± 0.28 mm yr⁻¹ in sea-level rise and agree with the upper-ocean estimate to within the estimated uncertainties. Accounting for additional possible systematic uncertainties, the deep ocean (below 2,000 m) contributes −0.13 ± 0.72 mm yr⁻¹ to global sea-level rise and −0.08 ± 0.43 W m⁻² to Earth’s energy balance. The net warming of the ocean implies an energy imbalance for the Earth of 0.64 ± 0.44 W m⁻² from 2005 to 2013.

Deep ocean contribution to sea levels shown in bottom graph has declined -0.13 mm/yr since 2005

Game over for CAGW: Deep oceans COOLING & atmospheric heat LOSS INCREASING for a decade+ http://t.co/HEMSj8bhJX pic.twitter.com/SvLPeaTInm
— hockey schtick (@hockeyschtick1) October 5, 2014