Graphs from the paper show remarkable correlation between between solar activity and precipitation over the past 125 years. And show inverse correlation to CO2 levels before 1950.
Linkages between solar activity, climate predictability and water resource development
W J R Alexander, F Bailey, D B Bredenkamp, A van der Merwe and N Willemse
JOURNAL OF THE SOUTH AFRICAN
INSTITUTION OF CIVIL ENGINEERING
Vol 49 No 2, June 2007, Pages 32–44, Paper 659
This study is based on the numerical analysis of the properties of routinely observed hydrometeorological data which in South Africa alone is collected at a rate of more than half a million station days per year, with some records approaching 100 continuous years in length. The analysis of this data demonstrates an unequivocal synchronous linkage between these processes in South Africa and elsewhere, and solar activity. This confirms observations and reports by others in many countries during the past 150 years. It is also shown with a high degree of assurance that there is a synchronous linkage between the statistically significant, 21-year [2 solar cycle] periodicity in these processes and the acceleration and deceleration of the sun as it moves through galactic space. Despite a diligent search, no evidence could be found of trends in the data that could be attributed to human activities.
It is essential that this information be accommodated in water resource development and operation procedures in the years ahead.
The largest African lake, Lake Victoria, shows remarkable correlation between solar activity and lake levels |
Linkages between solar activity, climate predictability and water resource development
W J R Alexander, F Bailey, D B Bredenkamp, A van der Merwe and N Willemse
JOURNAL OF THE SOUTH AFRICAN
INSTITUTION OF CIVIL ENGINEERING
Vol 49 No 2, June 2007, Pages 32–44, Paper 659
This study is based on the numerical analysis of the properties of routinely observed hydrometeorological data which in South Africa alone is collected at a rate of more than half a million station days per year, with some records approaching 100 continuous years in length. The analysis of this data demonstrates an unequivocal synchronous linkage between these processes in South Africa and elsewhere, and solar activity. This confirms observations and reports by others in many countries during the past 150 years. It is also shown with a high degree of assurance that there is a synchronous linkage between the statistically significant, 21-year [2 solar cycle] periodicity in these processes and the acceleration and deceleration of the sun as it moves through galactic space. Despite a diligent search, no evidence could be found of trends in the data that could be attributed to human activities.
It is essential that this information be accommodated in water resource development and operation procedures in the years ahead.
This link between solar activity and hydrology is not new, it was detailed in a study of water flow in the Nile by Alexander Ruzmaikin and Joan Feynman of NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, Calif., together with Dr. Yuk Yung of the California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, Calif., have analyzed Egyptian records of annual Nile water levels collected between 622 and 1470 A.D. at Rawdah Island in Cairo. ….
ReplyDeleteThe researchers found some clear links between the sun's activity and climate variations. The Nile water levels and aurora records had two somewhat regularly occurring variations in common - one with a period of about 88 years and the second with a period of about 200 years.
http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news.php?feature=1319
http://trs-new.jpl.nasa.gov/dspace/bitstream/2014/39770/1/06-1256.pdf
Note that this work links to the studies of Hurst on Nile water flow that lead to the Hurst-Kolmogorov method of studying natural cycles.
Thanks for the info & links
Deleteanother paper published today demonstrating solar control of hydrological cycle
ReplyDeletehttp://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2013GL058999/abstract;jsessionid=3B984DF0DE3A7871C960A0424C4E0428.f03t03