This article from October 2009 states that 10 year pauses in global warming occur only around 2% of the time in the Hadley CRU 700 year climate simulation, and since at the time of publication it was claimed temperatures had only been stalled 10 years, we should just "wait a bit" because global warming is sure to reoccur, since pauses as long as 15 years are rare. Flash forward to 2/13/10, Phil Jones of CRU now states that for the past 15 years there has been no ‘statistically significant’ warming. The Hadley CRU simulation mentions no pauses of global warming exceeding 15 years in their simulation. Their models dismiss variability in solar activity and fluctuations in ocean oscillations, which can have multi-decadal periodicities of 30, 60, 120, etc. years.
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